UNFPA’s latest estimates imply that even if the probability of FGM stays constant, globally, more and more girls will be affected each year due to the underlying population growth in high-risk countries.
It highlights the importance of factoring in underlying population dynamics when estimating FGM risk. It also demonstrates that increased efforts are required to halt this trend.
The new estimates are based on DHS and MICS* surveys, which provide the risk of FGM by single years of age and combine these probabilities with data from the 2017 UN World Population Prospects, allowing us to generate more precise estimates and
projections of the number of girls at risk of FGM in each country.